1/7/2024 0 Comments Sharpshooter fallacy![]() This fallacy lives up to its striking name because the Texas sharpshooter takes a random cluster, and by drawing a target onto it makes it appear to be causally determined, as if the Texan were shooting at the target. Patterns in data can be useful for forming hypotheses, but they are not themselves sufficient evidence of a causal connection. For instance, if a disease is contagious, it may be clustered around a carrier.Īt best, the occurrence of a cluster in the data is the basis not for a causal conclusion, but for the formation of a causal hypothesis which needs to be tested.
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